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TROPICAL DEPRESSION CELIA DISCUSSION NUMBER  13
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
8 AM PDT MON JUL 20 1998
 
CELIA PERSISTS AS A FAIRLY WELL-DEFINED CIRCULATION OF LOW- TO
MIDDLE-LEVEL CLOUDS...BUT WITH NO DEEP CONVECTION.  DVORAK CURRENT
INTENSITY ESTIMATES FROM BOTH TAFB AND SAB REMAIN 2.0...30 KNOTS.
THE SYSTEM WILL BE HELD AT TROPICAL DEPRESSION STATUS FOR THIS
ADVISORY...WITH DISSIPATION EXPECTED IN THE NEXT DAY OR SO.

THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 270/07 KNOTS.  THE OFFICIAL
FORECAST TRACK CONTINUES THE WESTWARD MOTION THROUGH THE PERIOD
...AND IS SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY.  
 
GUINEY/PASCH
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL     20/1500Z 22.1N 119.0W    30 KTS
12HR VT     21/0000Z 22.1N 120.1W    25 KTS
24HR VT     21/1200Z 22.1N 121.7W    20 KTS
36HR VT     22/0000Z 22.1N 123.6W    20 KTS...DISSIPATING
 
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