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TROPICAL DEPRESSION AGATHA DISCUSSION NUMBER  20
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
2 AM PDT TUE JUN 16 1998
 
SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A WEAKENING CYCLONIC CIRCULATION MAINLY IN
THE LOW CLOUDS...VOID OF DEEP CONVECTION.  INITIAL INTENSITY IS
LOWERED TO 25 KNOTS IN AGREEMENT WITH LATEST ESTIMATE FROM TAFB.
ADVISORIES WILL LIKELY CEASE AND THE SYSTEM WILL BE CARRIED AS A
WEAK LOW IN THE HIGH SEAS FORECAST LATER TODAY.
 
LOW-LEVEL STEERING IS EXPECTED TO ALLOW A SLIGHTLY NORTH OF WEST
DRIFT TO CONTINUE UNTIL DISSIPATION WITHIN A DAY OR SO.
 
MAYFIELD
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL     16/0900Z 20.0N 123.4W    25 KTS
12HR VT     16/1800Z 20.2N 124.2W    25 KTS...DISSIPATING
24HR VT     17/0600Z 20.3N 125.0W    20 KTS...DISSIPATING
36HR VT     17/1800Z 20.5N 126.0W    20 KTS...DISSIPATING
48HR VT     18/0600Z...DISSIPATED
 
 
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