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TROPICAL DEPRESSION AGATHA DISCUSSION NUMBER  19
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
8 PM PDT MON JUN 15 1998
 
AGATHA REMAINS A WELL-DEFINED SWIRL OF LOW LEVEL CLOUDS DEVOID OF
DEEP CONVECTION. THE INTENSITY TREND IS UNCHANGED FROM THE PREVIOUS
PACKAGE WITH THE SYSTEM FORECAST TO BE DISSIPATING IN 24 HOURS OR
SO.  
 
BOTH TAFB AND SAB ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT ON THE LOCATION OF AGATHA.
THIS YIELDS A CURRENT MOTION OF 280/06. THE MORE WESTERLY HEADING
OVER THE LAST 6 TO 12 HOURS IS LIKELY IN RESPONSE TO THE LOW-LEVEL
STEERING...AND THIS INFLUENCE SHOULD CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE
OF DAYS. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST MAINTAINS A SLIGHTLY NORTH OF WEST
MOTION UNTIL DISSIPATION.  

GUINEY/PASCH
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL     16/0300Z 19.9N 123.1W    30 KTS
12HR VT     16/1200Z 20.1N 124.0W    25 KTS
24HR VT     17/0000Z 20.4N 125.6W    20 KTS...DISSIPATING
36HR VT     17/1200Z 20.7N 127.0W    20 KTS...DISSIPATING
48HR VT     18/0000Z 21.0N 128.5W    20 KTS...DISSIPATING
72HR VT     19/0000Z...DISSIPATED
 
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