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TROPICAL STORM AGATHA DISCUSSION NUMBER  13
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
8 AM PDT SUN JUN 14 1998
 
WITH AN INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE OF 300/14...AGATHA CONTINUES TO SLOW
DOWN.  THE TRACK FORECAST IS FOR CONTINUED DECELERATION AS STEERING
CURRENTS WEAKEN WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN DIRECTION OF MOTION.

THERE IS LITTLE DEEP CONVECTION LEFT AS COLDER WATER IS ENCOUNTERED.
HOWEVER CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES REMAIN AT T NUMBER 3.0 TO
3.5...SO 50 KNOTS IS THE INITIAL WIND SPEED.  DISSIPATION IS
EXPECTED IN THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.

LAWRENCE
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL     14/1500Z 18.3N 119.5W    50 KTS
12HR VT     15/0000Z 19.2N 121.2W    40 KTS
24HR VT     15/1200Z 20.3N 123.0W    30 KTS
36HR VT     16/0000Z 21.0N 124.2W    25 KTS...DISSIPATING
48HR VT     16/1200Z 21.5N 125.0W    25 KTS...DISSIPATING
72HR VT     17/1200Z 22.0N 126.5W    25 KTS...DISSIPATING
 
 
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