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TROPICAL STORM MITCH DISCUSSION NUMBER  54
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
4 PM EST THU NOV 05 1998
 
THE HURRICANE HUNTERS COULD NOT IDENTIFY A WELL-DEFINED CIRCULATION
CENTER IN MITCH WHEN THE STORM LEFT THE FL EAST COAST.  SATELLITE
PICTURES SEEM TO CONFIRM THEIR OBSERVATIONS OF AN ELONGATED
CIRCULATION ALONG THE FRONTAL BAND WITH NO DEEP CONVECTION OVER THE
AREA WITH THE LOWEST SURFACE PRESSURE.  THEREFORE...THE SYSTEM WILL
BE DECLARED AN EXTRATROPICAL STORM IN THIS ADVISORY.  ALL TROPICAL
STORM WARNINGS ARE DISCONTINUED.
 
THE STORM IS MOVING TOWARD ABOUT 070 DEGREES AT 28 KT.  ITS COURSE
IS LIKELY TO BE A CONTINUATION OF THIS HEADING WITH ADDITIONAL
ACCELERATION...AS IMPLIED BY THE NUMERICAL GUIDANCE.
 
FUTURE INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM WILL BE CONTAINED IN NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE HIGH SEAS FORECASTS...UNDER AFOS HEADER NFDHSFAT1
AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC.
 
RAPPAPORT
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL     05/2100Z 28.2N  76.9W    50 KTS...EXTRATROPICAL
12HR VT     06/0600Z 30.4N  72.3W    50 KTS...EXTRATROPICAL
24HR VT     06/1800Z 33.7N  64.8W    50 KTS...EXTRATROPICAL
36HR VT     07/0600Z 37.3N  56.4W    50 KTS...EXTRATROPICAL
48HR VT     07/1800Z...EXTRATROPICAL
 
 
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