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HURRICANE LISA DISCUSSION NUMBER  16
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT FRI OCT 09 1998

SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THAT LISA IS STILL SEPARATED FROM THE
FRONTAL LOW AND T-NUMBERS ARE 4.0 ON THE DVORAK SCALE. IN FACT...
BOTH TAFB AND KGWC HAVE BEEN CLASSIFYING THE SYSTEM AS A 4.0 DURING
THE PAST 6 TO 12 HOURS.   THEREFORE...LISA IS BEING UPGRADED TO A
HURRICANE AT THIS TIME BUT IS EXPECTED TO BECOME EXTRATROPICAL LATER
TODAY OVER THE COOL WATERS OF THE NORTH ATLANTIC AND THEN TURNED
OVER TO THE MARINE PREDICTION CENTER.  
 
LISA IS RACING NORTHWARD ABOUT 38 KNOTS. ONCE LISA BECOMES
EXTRATROPICAL IS EXPECTED TO TURN TO THE NORTHEAST AND EAST.
 
AVILA
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL     09/1500Z 43.5N  39.2W    65 KTS
12HR VT     10/0000Z 47.0N  39.5W    60 KTS...EXTRATROPICAL
24HR VT     10/1200Z 50.5N  36.5W    50 KTS...EXTRATROPICAL

 
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