ZCZC MIATCDAT2 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL STORM LISA DISCUSSION NUMBER 13 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 5 PM EDT THU OCT 08 1998 SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THAT THE CLOUD PATTERN IS BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED WITH BANDING FEATURES...A CENTRAL DENSE OVERCAST...AND AN EYE TRYING TO FORM. THIS SUGGESTS THAT LISA IS CLOSE TO HURRICANE STRENGTH. WINDS ARE ADJUSTED TO 60 KNOTS AT THIS TIME BUT IF THE EYE BECOMES EVIDENT...WE WILL HAVE TO INCREASE THE WINDS. LISA IS RACING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD...ABOUT 24 KNOTS...AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT. MODELS SUGGEST THAT LISA SHOULD TURN MORE TO THE NORTH AND BECOME ASSOCIATED WITH A STRONG FRONTAL LOW. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST FOLLOWS THE MODELS AND MAKES LISA EXTRATROPICAL BY 36 HOURS. AVILA FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 08/2100Z 30.6N 37.8W 60 KTS 12HR VT 09/0600Z 34.0N 36.6W 60 KTS 24HR VT 09/1800Z 39.0N 36.5W 60 KTS 36HR VT 10/0600Z 43.5N 36.5W 60 KTS...EXTRATROPICAL 48HR VT 10/1800Z 48.3N 36.5W 60 KTS...EXTRATROPICAL NNNN