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TROPICAL DEPRESSION JEANNE DISCUSSION NUMBER  37
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT WED SEP 30 1998

REPORTS FROM THE AZORES...INCLUDING WSR-88D RADAR OBSERVATIONS FROM
LAJES AIR FORCE BASE...SUGGEST THAT THE SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DROPPED
JUST BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH.  EARLIER...AT 17Z...HORTA...
LOCATED ABOUT 90 N MI WEST OF THE ISLAND OF TERCEIRA REPORTED A WIND
GUST TO 37 KNOTS.  JEANNE CONTINUES TO BE SHEARED FROM THE
WEST...AND A COLD FRONT IS NEARING THE AREA.  THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED
TO LOSE ITS TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS LATER TONIGHT.

INITIAL MOTION CONTINUES TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST...AT AROUND 12
KNOTS.  THE CURRENT OFFICIAL FORECAST IS AN EXTENSION OF THE
PREVIOUS ONE.  THIS IS SIMILAR TO THE STATISTICAL/DYNAMICAL TRACK
PREDICTION MODEL.
 
PASCH
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL     30/2100Z 38.2N  28.7W    30 KTS
12HR VT     01/0600Z 38.8N  26.5W    30 KTS...EXTRATROPICAL
24HR VT     01/1800Z 39.5N  23.5W    30 KTS...EXTRATROPICAL
36HR VT     02/0600Z 40.0N  20.5W    30 KTS...EXTRATROPICAL
48HR VT     02/1800Z 40.5N  17.5W    25 KTS...EXTRATROPICAL
 
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