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HURRICANE JEANNE DISCUSSION NUMBER   5
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT TUE SEP 22 1998
 
THE STRENGTHENING TREND HAS CONTINUED.  AN EYE APPEARED FOR A FEW
HOURS AND DVORAK T-NUMBER HAVE INCREASED TO 4.0.  JEANNE IS UPGRADED
TO A 65 KT HURRICANE.
 
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING STEADILY TOWARD THE WNW...AT ABOUT 15 KT.  THE
TRACK GUIDANCE AND OFFICIAL FORECAST ARE SIMILAR TO 6 HOURS AGO AND
SHOW A CONTINUATION OF THE CURRENT TRACK THROUGH 72 HOURS...UNDER
THE INFLUENCE OF A RIDGE TO THE NORTH.
 
ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST.
 
RAPPAPORT
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL     22/2100Z 13.5N  26.0W    65 KTS
12HR VT     23/0600Z 14.2N  28.3W    70 KTS
24HR VT     23/1800Z 15.0N  31.3W    80 KTS
36HR VT     24/0600Z 15.9N  34.2W    80 KTS
48HR VT     24/1800Z 16.7N  36.9W    80 KTS
72HR VT     25/1800Z 18.0N  41.0W    80 KTS
 
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