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TROPICAL DEPRESSION FRANCES DISCUSSION NUMBER  14
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT FRI SEP 11 1998
 
THE BROAD CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION HAS BEEN MOVING SLOWLY TOWARD THE
NORTH-NORTHEAST DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS. MOST OF THE TRACK MODELS
SUGGEST THAT THE LOW PRESSURE AREA...REMNANTS OF FRANCES SHOULD MOVE
ON A GENERAL NORTHWARD TRACK AND SO DOES THE OFFICIAL FORECAST. 

THE SYSTEM IS GRADUALLY WEAKENING BUT SOME ISOLATED WIND GUSTS OF
TROPICAL STORM FORCE MAY STILL OCCUR OVER WATER WITHIN SOME OF THE
RAINBANDS.  THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HEAVY RAINS
PRIMARILY OVER EASTERN TEXAS DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS.

THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY ON FRANCES ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER.  FURTHER INFORMATION WILL BE CONTAINED IN
ADVISORIES ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER UNDER AFOS HEADER NFDSCCNS1.

AVILA

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL     12/0300Z 29.7N  96.4W    30 KTS
12HR VT     12/1200Z 30.5N  96.2W    25 KTS...INLAND
24HR VT     13/0000Z 31.5N  96.0W    25 KTS...INLAND
36HR VT     13/1200Z 32.0N  96.0W    20 KTS...INLAND
48HR VT     14/0000Z 33.0N  96.0W    20 KTS...INLAND
72HR VT     15/0000Z 34.0N  96.0W    20 KTS...INLAND
 
 
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