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HURRICANE EARL DISCUSSION NUMBER  12
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT THU SEP 03 1998

THE CENTER OF EARL MOVED INLAND NEAR PANAMA CITY FLORIDA. RECON
MEASURED HURRICANE FORCE WINDS OVER WATER ALONG THE SOUTHEAST
QUADRANT OF THE HURRICANE.  THIS WILL CONTINUE TO CREATE A SERIOUS
STORM SURGE PROBLEM IN THE BIG BEND AREA OF FLORIDA.

WINDS ARE DECREASING RAPIDLY TO THE WEST OF THE CENTER. 
THEREFORE... WARNINGS HAVE BEEN DISCONTINUED FROM PANAMA CITY
WESTWARD.

EARL IS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD ABOUT 10 KNOTS AND THIS GENERAL TRACK
IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. EARL IS 
EXPECTED TO WEAKEN OVER LAND. 
 
AVILA
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL     03/0900Z 30.5N  85.3W    65 KTS
12HR VT     03/1800Z 31.5N  84.0W    35 KTS...INLAND
24HR VT     04/0600Z 32.5N  82.0W    30 KTS...INLAND
36HR VT     04/1800Z 34.0N  80.0W    25 KTS...INLAND
48HR VT     05/0600Z 35.5N  78.0W    25 KTS...INLAND
72HR VT     06/0600Z 38.5N  73.5W    25 KTS...INLAND
 
 
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