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HURRICANE DANIELLE DISCUSSION NUMBER  30
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT MON AUG 31 1998

ALTHOUGH THE CLOUD TOPS ARE NOT VERY COLD...THE HURRICANE CONTINUES
TO LOOK IMPRESSIVE ON SATELLITE PICTURES AND RECON STILL REPORTS A
CLOSED WALL...A 20 N MI DIAMETER EYE...AND A CENTRAL PRESSURE OF 975
MB.  CURRENT MAXIMUM WIND SPEED ESTIMATE REMAINS AT 85 KNOTS.  
DANIELLE SHOULD REMAIN OVER WARM WATERS FOR ANOTHER 24 HOURS OR
SO...SO THERE MAY BE SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING.  THE SHIPS MODEL
ALSO SHOWS A LITTLE INCREASE IN WINDS.   

INITIAL MOTION IS NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD...025/09.  THE CONSENSUS OF
THE OBJECTIVE TRACK PREDICTION MODELS IS A TURN TO THE NORTHEAST AND
ACCELERATION...AWAY FROM THE U.S. EAST COAST.  THIS IS QUALITATIVELY
CONSISTENT WITH THE OBSERVED STEERING FLOW.  THE LATEST NHC FORECAST
TRACK IS PRACTICALLY AN EXTENSION OF THE PREVIOUS OFFICIAL
FORECAST...AND TAKES THE HURRICANE BETWEEN BERMUDA AND THE CANADIAN
MARITIMES.  OBVIOUSLY...INTERESTS IN THE ABOVEMENTIONED LOCALES
SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THE HURRICANE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS OR UNTIL DANIELLE HAS PASSED THEIR AREA.
 
PASCH
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL     31/2100Z 30.5N  73.6W    85 KTS
12HR VT     01/0600Z 31.7N  72.9W    90 KTS
24HR VT     01/1800Z 33.7N  70.0W    90 KTS
36HR VT     02/0600Z 35.7N  66.4W    85 KTS
48HR VT     02/1800Z 38.0N  62.0W    80 KTS
72HR VT     03/1800Z 43.0N  52.0W    65 KTS
 
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