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HURRICANE DANIELLE DISCUSSION NUMBER  26
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT SUN AUG 30 1998

MOTION IS BENDING GRADUALLY TO THE RIGHT AND IS NOW 310/09.  A BROAD
500 MB TROUGH OVER THE EASTERN U.S. HAS...FORTUNATELY...ERODED THE
SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AND SHOULD ALLOW THE HURRICANE TO TURN NORTHWARD. 
DANIELLE SHOULD SOON MAKE CONTACT WITH SOUTHWESTERLY STEERING WINDS
AND BEGIN TO VEER AWAY FROM THE COAST.  THIS IS SHOWN BY ALL
AVAILABLE TROPICAL CYCLONE TRACK PREDICTION MODELS.

CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE REMAINS AT 65 KNOTS.  DATA FROM THE MOST
RECENT VORTEX PENETRATION BY THE AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTERS SHOWED
68-KNOT WINDS AT THE 850 MB FLIGHT LEVEL OVER THE NORTHEAST
QUADRANT.  ON THE FORECAST TRACK DANIELLE SHOULD BE MOVING OVER
OCEAN WATERS LESS INFLUENCED BY THE COLD WAKE OF BONNIE...AND
STRENGTHENING IS STILL POSSIBLE.  
 
PASCH
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL     30/2100Z 27.9N  74.2W    65 KTS
12HR VT     31/0600Z 29.2N  74.4W    70 KTS
24HR VT     31/1800Z 30.8N  73.5W    75 KTS
36HR VT     01/0600Z 32.5N  72.0W    80 KTS
48HR VT     01/1800Z 34.5N  69.5W    85 KTS
72HR VT     02/1800Z 38.0N  64.0W    85 KTS
 
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