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HURRICANE BONNIE DISCUSSION NUMBER  34
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT THU AUG 27 1998

...CORRECTION FOR FORCAST POSITIONS AND INLAND DESIGNATIONS...
 
RADAR AND AIR FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE FIXES OVER THE LAST
6 HOURS SUGGEST THAT BONNIE IS FINALLY ON THE MOVE...ALBEIT AT
A SLOW PACE.  THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS NOW 020/04 KNOTS.
LATEST RECON WINDS ARE SHOWING A MAXIMUM FLIGHT-LEVEL WIND OF
79 KNOTS.  RECENT MARINE AND LAND OBSERVATIONS INDICATE NO 
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS WITH ONLY TROPICAL STORM REPORTS.  THE
INITIAL INTENSITY IS REDUCED TO 75 KNOTS.  FURTHER SLOW
WEAKENING IS FORECAST AS THE SYSTEM TRAVERSES LAND OVER THE 
NEXT 24 HOURS.  

THE TRACK FORECAST CONTINUES A SLOW NORTH-NORTHEAST MOTION
THROUGH 36-48 HOURS.  THEREAFTER..THE SYSTEM WILL ACCELERATE
NORTHEAST AS A TROUGH APPROACHES THE NORTHEAST U.S. THIS TRACK
IS SLIGHTLY LEFT OF THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY.

GUINEY
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL     27/0900Z 34.7N  77.5W    75 KTS
12HR VT     27/1800Z 35.3N  77.1W    70 KTS...INLAND
24HR VT     28/0600Z 36.2N  76.6W    65 KTS...INLAND
36HR VT     28/1800Z 37.5N  75.5W    55 KTS
48HR VT     29/0600Z 39.3N  73.7W    55 KTS
72HR VT     30/0600Z 45.0N  58.5W    55 KTS 
 
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