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Tropical Storm ILEANA


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BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Ileana Advisory Number   7
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP112018
400 AM CDT Mon Aug 06 2018

...ILEANA GETTING BETTER ORGANIZED AND EXPECTED TO BECOME A
HURRICANE BY TUESDAY...
...HURRICANE AND TROPICAL STORM WATCHES ISSUED...


SUMMARY OF 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.2N 100.3W
ABOUT 120 MI...195 KM SSW OF ACAPULCO MEXICO
ABOUT 370 MI...600 KM SE OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...998 MB...29.47 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The Government of Mexico has issued a Hurricane Watch from Punta
San Telmo to Playa Perula.  A Tropical Storm Watch has also been
issued for the southern tip of Baja California Sur from Los Barilles
to Todo Santos, including Cabo San Lucas.


SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
A Hurricane Watch is in effect for...
* Punta San Telmo to Playa Perula Mexico

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Lazaro Cardenas to Cabo Corrientes Mexico

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Los Barilles to Todo Santos Mexico

A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible
within the watch area, in this case within the next 24 hours.
A watch is issued before the anticipated first occurrence of
tropical-storm-force winds, conditions that make outside
preparations difficult or dangerous.

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours.

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 400 AM CDT (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Ileana was
located by the Acapulco radar near latitude 15.2 North, longitude
100.3 West.  Ileana is moving toward the northwest near 17 mph (28
km/h) and this general motion is expected to continue into
Wednesday. On the forecast track, Ileana's center is forecast to
move parallel to and just offshore of the coast of southwestern
Mexico through Tuesday.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 65 mph (100 km/h)
with higher gusts.  Additional strengthening is expected during the
next day or so, and Ileana is forecast to become a hurricane by
Tuesday morning.  Gradual weakening is expected to begin Tuesday
night, and Ileana is forecast to dissipate by Wednesday afternoon
or evening due to its proximity to much-larger Tropical Storm John
located to its west.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 998 mb (29.47 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND:  Hurricane conditions are possible in the watch area tonight
and early Tuesday. Tropical storm conditions are expected within the
warning area late today through early Tuesday.  Tropical storm
conditions are possible within the watch area over southern Baja
California Sur Wednesday morning.

RAINFALL:  Ileana is expected to produce total rain accumulations
of 2 to 4 inches over coastal sections of the Mexican states of
Guerrero, Michoacan, Colima, and Jalisco, with possible isolated
maximum amounts of 6 inches through Tuesday night. These rains may
cause flash flooding.

SURF:  Swells generated by Ileana will be affecting portions of
the coast of southwestern Mexico during the next couple of days.
These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip
current conditions.  Please consult products from your local
weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 700 AM CDT.
Next complete advisory at 1000 AM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Stewart

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