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Tropical Depression FOUR-E


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BULLETIN
Tropical Depression Four-E Advisory Number   4
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP042018
1000 AM CDT Fri Jun 15 2018

...DEPRESSION PRODUCING TORRENTIAL RAINFALL OVER GUERRERO AND
OAXACA...


SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.8N 99.7W
ABOUT 75 MI...125 KM S OF ACAPULCO MEXICO
ABOUT 80 MI...130 KM WSW OF PUNTA MALDONADO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 15 DEGREES AT 3 MPH...6 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The government of Mexico has extended the Tropical Storm Warning
for the coast of Mexico eastward to Lagunas de Chacahua.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Tecpan de Galeana to Lagunas de Chacahua

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected within the watch area, in this case within 12-24 hours.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1000 AM CDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Four-E
was located near latitude 15.8 North, longitude 99.7 West. The
depression is moving toward the north-northeast near 3 mph (6 km/h)
and a slow northeastward motion is expected to begin later today.
On the forecast track, the center of the depression is expected to
make landfall on Saturday within the warning area and move farther
inland on Sunday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.
The depression is forecast to become a tropical storm later today,
quickly weaken after landfall on Saturday, and then dissipate on
Sunday.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL:  The depression is forecast to produce 3 to 6 inches of
rainfall along the Guerrero and Oaxaca coasts, including the city of
Acapulco, with isolated higher amounts of 10 inches possible. These
rains are likely to produce life-threatening flash floods and
mud slides, especially in areas of higher terrain. Farther inland
across the states of Guerrero and Oaxaca, rainfall amounts of 1 to 2
inches with isolated amounts of 4 inches are forecast.

WIND:  Tropical storm conditions are expected within the warning
area starting early Saturday.

SURF:  Swells generated by the depression are affecting portions of
the coast of southern Mexico.  These swells are likely to cause
life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.  Please consult
products from your local weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 100 PM CDT.
Next complete advisory at 400 PM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Blake

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