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Tropical Storm Gordon Discussion Number  12
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL072018
400 AM CDT Wed Sep 05 2018

Gordon is moving farther inland and continues to weaken.  Surface
synoptic observations suggest that the cyclone is now of, at most,
minimal tropical storm strength.  These tropical-storm-force winds
may be occurring over a small inland area near the center.
Continued weakening is expected, and Gordon should become a
tropical depression later this morning.

Gordon continues moving northwestward, with an initial motion
estimate of 325/12.  The cyclone should continue on a northwestward
heading with a decrease in forward speed, along the southwestern
periphery of a mid-level ridge, for the next couple of days.  Later
in the period, Gordon's remnant is forecast to turn northward
and northeastward with increasing forward speed as it approaches
the mid-latitude westerlies north of 40N.  the official forecast
track is close to the latest dynamical model consensus, TVCA.

All coastal watches and warnings associated with Gordon are being
discontinued at this time.


Key Messages:

1. Heavy rainfall from Gordon will affect the western Florida
Panhandle, southwest Alabama, southern and central Mississippi,
northeastern Louisiana, Arkansas, Missouri, southern Iowa and
Illinois, with isolated maximum amounts of 12 inches through early
Saturday.  This rainfall will cause flash flooding across portions
of these areas.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT  05/0900Z 31.5N  89.5W   35 KT  40 MPH
 12H  05/1800Z 32.4N  90.4W   25 KT  30 MPH...INLAND
 24H  06/0600Z 33.4N  91.6W   25 KT  30 MPH...INLAND
 36H  06/1800Z 34.1N  92.5W   25 KT  30 MPH...INLAND
 48H  07/0600Z 34.8N  93.3W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 72H  08/0600Z 36.7N  93.6W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 96H  09/0600Z 39.0N  91.0W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
120H  10/0600Z 42.0N  86.0W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP

$$
Forecaster Pasch

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