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Tropical Storm Selma Advisory Number   5
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP202017
400 AM CDT Sat Oct 28 2017

...SELMA SHOULD MAKE LANDFALL IN A FEW HOURS...


SUMMARY OF 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...13.0N 88.8W
ABOUT 55 MI...90 KM SSE OF SAN SALVADOR EL SALVADOR
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 15 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Entire coast of El Salvador

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Pacific coast of Guatemala

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area.

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area.

Interests in western Honduras should monitor the progress of Selma.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 400 AM CDT (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Selma was
located near latitude 13.0 North, longitude 88.8 West. Selma is
moving toward the north-northeast near 7 mph (11 km/h), and this
general motion is expected during the next day.  On the forecast
track Selma should make landfall in El Salvador during the next few
hours and dissipate over Central America by tonight.

Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts.
Little change in strength is anticipated before landfall, with
rapid weakening expected thereafter.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km),
primarily to the east of the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL:  Selma is expected to produce total rain accumulations of
2 to 5 inches over El Salvador, southern Guatemala and southern
Honduras through Sunday.  This rainfall could cause isolated flash
floods, especially in mountainous terrain.

WIND:  Tropical storm conditions are expected within the warning
area soon. Tropical storm conditions, primarily in gusts, are
possible within the watch area by Saturday morning.

SURF:  Swells generated by Selma are affecting portions of the
coasts of Nicaragua, Honduras, El Salvador and Guatemala.
These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip
current conditions.  Please consult products from your local
weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 700 AM CDT.
Next complete advisory at 1000 AM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Blake

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