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Tropical Storm Selma Discussion Number   5
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP202017
400 AM CDT Sat Oct 28 2017

The satellite appearance of Selma remains about the same as before
with a small area of deep convection near and west of the center.
The initial wind speed is held at 35 kt, perhaps generously,
although there hasn't been any ASCAT data in over 24 hours now.
Little change in strength is forecast before landfall in El Salvador
during the next few hours, and the cyclone should dissipate over the
rugged terrain of Central America by this evening.  Model guidance
is in good agreement on this scenario, and no significant
changes were made to the previous track or intensity forecasts.

The primary threat associated with Selma is heavy rainfall with 2
to 5 inches possible over portions of El Salvador and Guatemala.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT  28/0900Z 13.0N  88.8W   35 KT  40 MPH
 12H  28/1800Z 13.8N  88.3W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND
 24H  29/0600Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Blake

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