ZCZC MIATCPEP4 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM BULLETIN Tropical Storm Ramon Advisory Number 1 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP192017 400 AM CDT Wed Oct 04 2017 ...TROPICAL STORM FORMS JUST SOUTH OF SOUTHERN MEXICO... ...HEAVY RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE ALONG THE COAST OF SOUTHERN MEXICO DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO... SUMMARY OF 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...14.3N 96.0W ABOUT 100 MI...165 KM SSE OF PUERTO ANGEL MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warning in effect. Interests along the southern coast of Mexico should monitor the progress of Ramon. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 400 AM CDT (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Ramon was located near latitude 14.3 North, longitude 96.0 West. Ramon is moving toward the west near 9 mph (15 km/h), and this general motion with some increase in forward speed is expected over the next day or two. On the forecast track, the center of Ramon is expected to move parallel to but remain offshore of the coast of southern Mexico. Satellite wind data indicate that maximum sustained winds are near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is forecast during the next couple of days. Ramon is a small tropical storm. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km) primarily to the west and southwest of the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1002 mb (29.59 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: Ramon is expected to produce rainfall amounts of 2 to 4 inches with isolated maximum amounts of 6 inches over the Mexican states of Oaxaca and coastal Guerrero through Thursday. This rainfall could cause life-threatening flash floods and mudslides. WIND: Strong gusty winds could occur along portions of the southern coast of Mexico between Puerto Angel and Acapulco during the next day or so. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1000 AM CDT. $$ Forecaster Brown NNNN
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