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TROPICAL STORM RAMON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP192017
0900 UTC WED OCT 04 2017

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS ALONG THE SOUTHERN COAST OF MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.3N  96.0W AT 04/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT   8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT.......  0NE   0SE  30SW  30NW.
12 FT SEAS..  0NE   0SE  30SW  30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.3N  96.0W AT 04/0900Z
AT 04/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.3N  95.5W

FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 14.3N  97.3W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...  0NE   0SE  30SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 14.3N  99.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  30SE  50SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 14.3N 102.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  30SE  50SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 14.4N 104.3W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  30SE  50SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 14.5N 107.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  60SW  60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 08/0600Z 14.5N 111.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 09/0600Z 15.5N 112.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.3N  96.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN


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