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TROPICAL STORM NORMA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  14
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP172017
2100 UTC SUN SEP 17 2017
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* LOS BARRILES TO TODOS SANTOS
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA... IN THIS CASE WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.1N 111.1W AT 17/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT   5 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE  50SE  60SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE  90SE  90SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.1N 111.1W AT 17/2100Z
AT 17/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.0N 110.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 21.5N 111.6W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 21.8N 112.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 22.1N 113.4W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE   0SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 22.3N 114.2W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 22.8N 115.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 21/1800Z 23.6N 114.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 22/1800Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.1N 111.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER LANDSEA
 
 
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