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TROPICAL STORM NORMA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP172017
1500 UTC FRI SEP 15 2017
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
INTERESTS IN BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
NORMA.  A HURRICANE WATCH COULD BE REQUIRED LATER TODAY FOR PORTIONS
OF THE PENINSULA.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.7N 109.7W AT 15/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 340 DEGREES AT   2 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  996 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE  30SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT....... 60NE  60SE  50SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS..135NE 180SE  90SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.7N 109.7W AT 15/1500Z
AT 15/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.6N 109.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 18.9N 109.9W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  20SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT... 30NE  40SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 19.2N 110.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  50SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  80SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 19.9N 110.1W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  80SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 20.8N 110.3W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  80SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 23.0N 111.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  70SW  70NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/1200Z 24.5N 112.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 20/1200Z 26.5N 110.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.7N 109.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG
 
 
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