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TROPICAL STORM NORMA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP172017
2100 UTC THU SEP 14 2017
 
INTERESTS IN EXTREME SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR SHOULD MONITOR
THE PROGRESS OF NORMA.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 109.3W AT 14/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR  10 DEGREES AT   5 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 50NE  60SE  60SW  30NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 180SE 150SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 109.3W AT 14/2100Z
AT 14/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.4N 109.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 18.1N 109.2W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE  70SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 18.7N 109.2W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  80SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 19.2N 109.3W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  90SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 19.8N 109.5W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  90SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 21.9N 110.1W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE  90SW  80NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/1800Z 24.5N 110.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/1800Z 27.0N 109.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.7N 109.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG
 
 
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