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Hurricane MAX (Text)


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Hurricane Max Intermediate Advisory Number 6A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP162017
100 PM CDT Thu Sep 14 2017

...MAX STRENGTHENING AS IT APPROACHES THE COAST OF MEXICO EAST OF
ACAPULCO...


SUMMARY OF 100 PM CDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.5N 99.4W
ABOUT 35 MI...70 KM SE OF ACAPULCO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...E OR 80 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...985 MB...29.09 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
* Zihuatanejo to Punta Maldonado

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* East of Punta Maldonado to Lagunas de Chacahua

A Hurricane Watch is in effect for...
* East of Punta Maldonado to Lagunas de Chacahua

A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected
somewhere within the warning area, in this case within the next 12
hours.  Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed
to completion.

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within the
next 12 to 24 hours.

A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible
within the watch area, in this case within the next 12 to 24 hours.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 100 PM CDT (1800 UTC), the eye of Hurricane Max was located near
latitude 16.5 North, longitude 99.4 West.  Max is moving toward the
east near 8 mph (13 km/h).  An eastward or east-northeastward motion
at a similar forward speed is expected through Friday.  On the
forecast track, the center of Max is forecast to cross the coast of
southern Mexico in the hurricane warning area later today or this
evening.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 85 mph (140 km/h)
with higher gusts.  Additional strengthening is possible before the
center of Max reaches the coast later today.  Weakening is forecast
once Max makes landfall, and it is expected to dissipate over the
mountains of southern Mexico by late Friday.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 10 miles (20 km) from
the center, and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 45
miles (75 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 985 mb (29.09 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL:  Max is expected to produce total rainfall accumulations
of 5 to 10 inches in the Mexican state of Guerrero and western
portions of the state of Oaxaca. Maximum amounts locally in excess
of 20 inches are possible over coastal areas of Guerrero. These
torrential rains may produce life-threatening flash floods and
mudslides.

WIND:  Hurricane and tropical storm conditions are likely occurring
within portions of the hurricane warning area.  Tropical storm
conditions are expected within the tropical storm warning area by
this evening, with hurricane conditions possible tonight.

STORM SURGE:  A dangerous storm surge is expected to produce
significant coastal flooding near and to the east of where the
center makes landfall.  Near the coast, the surge will be
accompanied by large and destructive waves.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 400 PM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Berg

NNNN

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Page last modified: Monday, 23-Oct-2017 12:10:28 UTC