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Tropical Storm MAX (Text)


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Tropical Storm Max Intermediate Advisory Number 3A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP162017
100 AM CDT Thu Sep 14 2017

...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS APPROACHING THE COAST OF MEXICO WITHIN
THE WARNING AREA...
...LIFE-THREATENING FLOODING EXPECTED ACROSS PORTIONS OF
SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO...


SUMMARY OF 100 AM CDT...0600 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.5N 100.9W
ABOUT 80 MI...125 KM WSW OF ACAPULCO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 65 DEGREES AT 3 MPH...6 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Hurricane Watch is in effect for...
* Zihuatanejo to Punta Maldonado

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Zihuatanejo to Punta Maldonado

A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible
within the watch area, in this case in the next 12 to 18 hours.

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within the
next 6 to 12 hours.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products
issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 100 AM CDT (0600 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Max was
located near latitude 16.5 North, longitude 100.9 West. Radar from
Mexico indicate that Max is moving toward the east-northeast near 3
mph (6 km/h), and an east-northeastward to northeastward motion is
expected to continue today.  On the forecast track, the center of
Max will make landfall within the warning area later today.

Recent satellite data indicate that the maximum sustained winds
are near 65 mph (100 km/h) with higher gusts.  Additional
strengthening is possible, and Max could be near hurricane intensity
at landfall.  After landfall, Max is forecast to rapidly weaken and
dissipate by early Friday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1000 mb (29.53 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL:  Max is expected to produce total rainfall accumulations
of 5 to 10 inches with maximum totals of 15 inches across southern
portions of the Mexican state of Guerrero and western portions of
the state of Oaxaca.  These rainfall amounts may produce life-
threatening flash floods and mudslides.

WIND:  Tropical storm conditions are expected to begin soon within
the warning area, with hurricane conditions possible later today.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 400 AM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Avila

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Page last modified: Friday, 15-Dec-2017 12:10:26 UTC