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Tropical Storm MAX (Text)


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Tropical Storm Max Advisory Number   3
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP162017
1000 PM CDT Wed Sep 13 2017

...HURRICANE WATCH ISSUED AS MAX STRENGTHENS...
...LIFE-THREATENING FLOODING EXPECTED ACROSS PARTS OF SOUTHWESTERN
MEXICO...


SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.3N 101.1W
ABOUT 90 MI...145 KM WSW OF ACAPULCO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 65 DEGREES AT 3 MPH...6 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB...29.56 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The Government of Mexico has issued a Hurricane Watch from
Zihuatanejo to Punta Maldonado.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Hurricane Watch is in effect for...
* Zihuatanejo to Punta Maldonado

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Zihuatanejo to Punta Maldonado

A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible
within the watch area, in this case in the next 12 to 18 hours.

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within the
next 6 to 12 hours.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 1000 PM CDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Max was
located near latitude 16.3 North, longitude 101.1 West.  Max is
moving toward the east-northeast near 3 mph (6 km/h) and an
east-northeastward to northeastward motion is expected to continue
through tomorrow.  On the forecast track, the center of Max will
make landfall within the warning area on Thursday.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 60 mph (95 km/h) with
higher gusts.  Additional strengthening is forecast, and Max could
be near hurricane intensity at landfall.  After landfall, Max is
forecast to rapidly weaken and dissipate by early Friday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1001 mb (29.56 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL:  Max is expected to produce total rainfall accumulations
of 5 to 10 inches with maximum totals of 15 inches across southern
portions of the Mexican state of Guerrero and western portions of
the state of Oaxaca.  These rainfall amounts may produce life-
threatening flash floods and mudslides.

WIND:  Tropical storm conditions are expected to begin soon within
the warning area, with hurricane conditions possible on Thursday.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 100 AM CDT.
Next complete advisory at 400 AM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Brennan

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Page last modified: Monday, 11-Dec-2017 12:10:28 UTC