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Hurricane OTIS (Text)


ZCZC MIATCMEP5 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

HURRICANE OTIS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  27
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP152017
0900 UTC MON SEP 18 2017

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.5N 127.3W AT 18/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 355 DEGREES AT   5 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  976 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  10SE  10SW  10NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT....... 60NE  60SE  40SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE  60SE  90SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.5N 127.3W AT 18/0900Z
AT 18/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.3N 127.3W

FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 19.2N 127.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  10SE  10SW  10NW.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 19.3N 127.9W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 19.0N 128.6W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 18.2N 129.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 16.5N 132.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 22/0600Z 14.7N 135.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 23/0600Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.5N 127.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE


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Page last modified: Monday, 16-Oct-2017 12:10:32 UTC