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TROPICAL STORM LIDIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP142017
0300 UTC THU AUG 31 2017
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM PUERTO CORTES TO EAST OF LA PAZ
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM PUERTO CORTES TO SAN EVARISTO
* MAINLAND MEXICO FROM BAHIA TEMPEHUAYA TO HUATABAMPITO
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF SAN EVARISTO TO LORETO
* NORTH OF PUERTO CORTES TO PUERTO SAN ANDRESITO
 
A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA... GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN WESTERN MEXICO AND BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR SHOULD
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.7N 109.2W AT 31/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  60 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 345 DEGREES AT   6 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT.......100NE 100SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..100NE 120SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.7N 109.2W AT 31/0300Z
AT 31/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.4N 109.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 21.6N 109.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  40SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 22.8N 110.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE  40SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 23.8N 110.6W...INLAND
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...130NE 130SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 25.5N 111.7W...INLAND
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  30SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 28.0N 114.3W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 04/0000Z 29.0N 117.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 05/0000Z 29.5N 119.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.7N 109.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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