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TROPICAL STORM KENNETH FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132017
0300 UTC SAT AUG 19 2017

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 119.1W AT 19/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 40NE  20SE   0SW  30NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 30NE  15SE  15SW  30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 119.1W AT 19/0300Z
AT 19/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.9N 118.5W

FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 15.4N 121.2W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE   0SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 16.0N 124.1W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  50SE  30SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 16.8N 126.7W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  40SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 17.7N 128.9W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  50SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 19.6N 131.8W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  50SW  80NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 23/0000Z 22.3N 133.1W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 24/0000Z 25.2N 133.9W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.0N 119.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS


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