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TROPICAL STORM GREG FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP072017
2100 UTC WED JUL 19 2017
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.3N 112.7W AT 19/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 50NE   0SE   0SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE   0SE   0SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.3N 112.7W AT 19/2100Z
AT 19/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.2N 112.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 14.4N 113.9W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  30SE   0SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 14.9N 115.9W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  20SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 15.5N 118.2W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  15SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 16.0N 120.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  15SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 16.2N 125.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  15SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  60NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 23/1800Z 16.0N 130.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 24/1800Z 16.0N 135.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.3N 112.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN
 
 
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