| HOME | ARCHIVES | FORECASTS | IMAGERY | ABOUT NHC | RECONNAISSANCE |

Hurricane FERNANDA (Text)


ZCZC MIAPWSEP1 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
                                                                    
HURRICANE FERNANDA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   9              
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP062017               
0300 UTC FRI JUL 14 2017                                            
                                                                    
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE FERNANDA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 
11.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 117.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 
75 KTS...85 MPH...140 KM/H.                                         
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        00Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
10N 120W       34  2  81(83)   2(85)   1(86)   X(86)   X(86)   X(86)
10N 120W       50  X  35(35)   4(39)   X(39)   X(39)   X(39)   X(39)
10N 120W       64  X  11(11)   2(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)
 
15N 120W       34  X   2( 2)   1( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
10N 125W       34  X   1( 1)   4( 5)  34(39)   6(45)   X(45)   X(45)
10N 125W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   9( 9)   3(12)   1(13)   X(13)
10N 125W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
15N 125W       34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)   9(15)   1(16)   X(16)
 
10N 130W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  12(12)   6(18)   X(18)
 
15N 130W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  33(33)  27(60)   1(61)
15N 130W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   9( 9)  20(29)   1(30)
15N 130W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)  13(16)   X(16)
 
20N 130W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)
 
10N 135W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   3( 8)
 
15N 135W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  33(33)  33(66)
15N 135W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  11(11)  25(36)
15N 135W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)  16(21)
 
20N 135W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   9(11)
20N 135W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)
20N 135W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)
 
15N 140W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  13(13)
 
20N 140W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER BROWN                                                    
NNNN                                                                

Standard version of this page

Alternate Formats
About Alternates - E-Mail Advisories - RSS Feeds

Cyclone Forecasts
Latest Advisory - Past Advisories - About Advisories

Marine Forecasts
Latest Products - About Marine Products

Tools & Data
Satellite Imagery - US Weather Radar - Aircraft Recon - Local Data Archive - Forecast Verification - Deadliest/Costliest/Most Intense

Learn About Hurricanes
Storm Names Wind Scale - Prepare - Climatology - NHC Glossary - NHC Acronyms - Frequently Asked Questions - AOML Hurricane-Research Division

About Us
About NHC - Mission/Vision - Other NCEP Centers - NHC Staff - Visitor Information - NHC Library

Contact Us


NOAA/ National Weather Service
National Centers for Environmental Prediction
National Hurricane Center
11691 SW 17th Street
Miami, Florida, 33165-2149 USA
nhcwebmaster@noaa.gov
Disclaimer
Privacy Policy
Credits
About Us
Glossary
Career Opportunities
Page last modified: Sunday, 31-Dec-2017 12:10:08 UTC