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Hurricane FERNANDA (Text)


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HURRICANE FERNANDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  31
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP062017
1500 UTC WED JUL 19 2017

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.4N 135.5W AT 19/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT   7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  982 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  75 KT WITH GUSTS TO  90 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  25SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT.......100NE 100SE  70SW  80NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 180SE 150SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.4N 135.5W AT 19/1500Z
AT 19/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.2N 135.2W

FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 17.9N 136.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  15SE   0SW  10NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  60SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 18.5N 138.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE  50SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 19.0N 139.6W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  40SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 19.5N 141.3W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 20.5N 144.5W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 23/1200Z 22.0N 149.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 24/1200Z 23.0N 153.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.4N 135.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN


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Page last modified: Tuesday, 12-Dec-2017 12:09:57 UTC