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Hurricane FERNANDA (Text)


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HURRICANE FERNANDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  25
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP062017
0300 UTC TUE JUL 18 2017
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 132.2W AT 18/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  967 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  95 KT WITH GUSTS TO 115 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  25SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT.......100NE 100SE  70SW  80NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 180SE 180SW 270NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 132.2W AT 18/0300Z
AT 18/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.4N 131.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 15.4N 133.1W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT... 40NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  70SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 16.2N 134.2W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  15SE  10SW  10NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  70SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 16.9N 135.4W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  15SE  10SW  10NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 17.3N 136.7W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 18.0N 139.8W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  70NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 22/0000Z 18.6N 142.7W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 23/0000Z 19.3N 146.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.7N 132.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS
 
 
NNNN

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Page last modified: Thursday, 14-Dec-2017 12:09:53 UTC