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Hurricane FERNANDA (Text)


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HURRICANE FERNANDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  24
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP062017
2100 UTC MON JUL 17 2017

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.1N 131.6W AT 17/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT   8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  954 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT WITH GUSTS TO 135 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  25SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT.......100NE 100SE  70SW  80NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 180SE 180SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.1N 131.6W AT 17/2100Z
AT 17/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.9N 131.2W

FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 14.8N 132.6W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  70SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 15.7N 133.7W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  70SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 16.5N 134.8W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  70SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 17.1N 136.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  70SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 17.9N 139.1W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  60SW  90NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 21/1800Z 18.3N 142.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 22/1800Z 18.8N 145.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.1N 131.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH


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Page last modified: Sunday, 10-Dec-2017 12:10:14 UTC