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HURRICANE FERNANDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  17
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP062017
0300 UTC SUN JUL 16 2017

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.7N 125.4W AT 16/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  957 MB
EYE DIAMETER  10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT WITH GUSTS TO 135 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 70NE  70SE  50SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 150SE 120SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.7N 125.4W AT 16/0300Z
AT 16/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.7N 124.8W

FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 12.4N 127.3W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  60SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 13.2N 129.5W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  70SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 14.0N 131.6W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  80SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 14.7N 133.3W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  80SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 16.5N 136.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  70SW  90NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 20/0000Z 17.5N 139.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 21/0000Z 17.5N 142.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.7N 125.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN


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