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Hurricane FERNANDA (Text)


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HURRICANE FERNANDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP062017
2100 UTC THU JUL 13 2017

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.2N 116.0W AT 13/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 260 DEGREES AT  10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  990 MB
EYE DIAMETER  15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  70 KT WITH GUSTS TO  85 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE   0SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT....... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT....... 40NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE  60SE  60SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.2N 116.0W AT 13/2100Z
AT 13/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.4N 115.6W

FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 11.1N 117.5W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 10.9N 119.4W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 10.9N 121.3W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE  70SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 11.3N 123.5W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  80SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 12.5N 128.0W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  80SW  90NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 17/1800Z 14.0N 132.5W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 18/1800Z 15.5N 136.0W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.2N 116.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN


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Page last modified: Tuesday, 12-Dec-2017 12:09:56 UTC