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Tropical Storm FERNANDA (Text)


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TROPICAL STORM FERNANDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP062017
0300 UTC THU JUL 13 2017

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.9N 113.1W AT 13/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT   8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 30NE  30SE  45SW  75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.9N 113.1W AT 13/0300Z
AT 13/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.9N 112.6W

FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 11.9N 114.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 11.7N 116.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  10SW  30NW.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 11.5N 118.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 11.4N 120.6W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 11.7N 125.1W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  60SW  70NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 17/0000Z 12.5N 129.5W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 18/0000Z 13.5N 133.5W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.9N 113.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN


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Page last modified: Tuesday, 12-Dec-2017 12:09:56 UTC