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Hurricane DORA (Text)


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HURRICANE DORA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP042017
0300 UTC TUE JUN 27 2017

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.4N 108.3W AT 27/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT  11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  981 MB
EYE DIAMETER  25 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 70NE  60SE  40SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  90SE  90SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.4N 108.3W AT 27/0300Z
AT 27/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.2N 107.8W

FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 18.9N 109.7W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  40SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 19.4N 111.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  15SW  20NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 19.8N 113.1W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 20.2N 114.7W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  30SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 20.7N 117.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 01/0000Z 20.5N 120.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 02/0000Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.4N 108.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN


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Page last modified: Sunday, 22-Oct-2017 12:09:53 UTC