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Tropical Depression TWO-E (Text)


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TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO-E WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP022017
1500 UTC WED MAY 31 2017

AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO-E WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 13.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 97.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 25 KTS...30 MPH...45 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
        12Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM
  TIME       12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO
             00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION       KT

15N 105W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)

L CARDENAS     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   2( 5)

ZIHUATANEJO    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   4( 5)   2( 7)

15N 100W       34  X   2( 2)   2( 4)   3( 7)   3(10)   6(16)   3(19)
15N 100W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)

ACAPULCO       34  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   2( 3)   4( 7)   5(12)   3(15)

P MALDONADO    34  1   2( 3)   4( 7)   5(12)   5(17)   5(22)   2(24)
P MALDONADO    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   1( 4)

P ANGEL        34  1   5( 6)  17(23)  12(35)   8(43)   3(46)   1(47)
P ANGEL        50  X   X( X)   2( 2)   4( 6)   4(10)   1(11)   X(11)
P ANGEL        64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)

HUATULCO       34  X   5( 5)  14(19)  12(31)  10(41)   3(44)   1(45)
HUATULCO       50  X   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   5( 9)   1(10)   X(10)
HUATULCO       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)

10N 95W        34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   1( 4)

15N 95W        34  X   1( 1)   7( 8)  13(21)  13(34)   6(40)   2(42)
15N 95W        50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   5( 8)   1( 9)   1(10)
15N 95W        64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)

TAPACHULA      34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   4( 6)   3( 9)   1(10)

P SAN JOSE     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   1( 4)

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
NNNN

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Page last modified: Thursday, 19-Oct-2017 12:09:54 UTC