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Tropical Storm ADRIAN


ZCZC MIAPWSEP1 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
                                                                    
TROPICAL STORM ADRIAN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   5           
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP012017               
2100 UTC WED MAY 10 2017                                            
                                                                    
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ADRIAN WAS LOCATED NEAR       
LATITUDE 10.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 92.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H.                               
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        18Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
L CARDENAS     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   2( 3)
 
ZIHUATANEJO    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   2( 4)
 
10N 100W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   3( 7)  11(18)
10N 100W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)
 
15N 100W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   6( 7)   6(13)  11(24)
15N 100W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   2( 4)
 
ACAPULCO       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   3( 6)   7(13)
 
P MALDONADO    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   6( 7)   6(13)  10(23)
 
P ANGEL        34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   7(10)   8(18)  17(35)
P ANGEL        50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   3( 6)
 
HUATULCO       34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   7( 9)   7(16)  16(32)
HUATULCO       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   4( 6)
 
10N 95W        34  X   2( 2)   2( 4)   2( 6)   6(12)   5(17)  10(27)
10N 95W        50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)
 
15N 95W        34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   7(11)   6(17)  16(33)
15N 95W        50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   3( 6)
 
TAPACHULA      34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   2( 3)   3( 6)   6(12)
 
P SAN JOSE     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   3( 5)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER PASCH                                                    
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