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TROPICAL STORM ADRIAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP012017
2100 UTC WED MAY 10 2017
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.5N  92.7W AT 10/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT   4 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 0NE   0SE  60SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 30NE  30SE  45SW  45NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.5N  92.7W AT 10/2100Z
AT 10/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.4N  92.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 11.2N  93.6W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 0NE   0SE  60SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 11.8N  94.8W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 12.2N  95.7W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...60NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 12.5N  96.6W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...60NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 12.8N  97.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...70NE  70SE  70SW  70NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 14/1800Z 13.0N  97.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 15/1800Z 13.0N  97.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 10.5N  92.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 
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