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HURRICANE OPHELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  25
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL172017
0900 UTC SUN OCT 15 2017

THERE ARE NO COASTAL TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN IRELAND SHOULD MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY MET
EIREANN... AND INTERESTS IN THE UNITED KINGDOM SHOULD MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE UK MET OFFICE.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.0N  18.3W AT 15/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  45 DEGREES AT  30 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  964 MB
EYE DIAMETER  25 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  40SE  30SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  70SE  70SW  30NW.
34 KT.......100NE 130SE 130SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 180SE 480SW 360NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.0N  18.3W AT 15/0900Z
AT 15/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 38.0N  19.7W

FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 43.0N  15.1W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  50SE  50SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  80SE  80SW  50NW.
34 KT...140NE 160SE 160SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 49.0N  11.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 60NE  90SE  90SW  40NW.
50 KT...120NE 150SE 150SW  90NW.
34 KT...210NE 240SE 200SW 160NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 54.0N   8.6W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP INLAND
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT...180NE 210SE 180SW 120NW.
34 KT...300NE 300SE 300SW 240NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 57.7N   4.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP INLAND
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...120NE 180SE 180SW 120NW.
34 KT...300NE 300SE 240SW 210NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 60.8N    .1W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP OVR WATER
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...  0NE   0SE   0SW 120NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 19/0600Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 39.0N  18.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART


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