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HURRICANE OPHELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  18
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL172017
1500 UTC FRI OCT 13 2017

THERE ARE NO COASTAL TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN THE AZORES SHOULD REFER TO PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE
AZORES WEATHER FORECAST AND WATCH CENTER.

INTERESTS IN IRELAND SHOULD MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY MET EIREANN
AND INTERESTS IN THE UNITED KINGDOM SHOULD MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY THE UK MET OFFICE.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.8N  32.9W AT 13/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR  60 DEGREES AT  10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  971 MB
EYE DIAMETER  10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE  20SE  20SW  15NW.
50 KT....... 30NE  40SE  30SW  20NW.
34 KT....... 70NE  80SE  70SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 150SE 150SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.8N  32.9W AT 13/1500Z
AT 13/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.4N  33.3W

FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 32.6N  30.9W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  25SE  20SW  15NW.
50 KT... 30NE  40SE  30SW  20NW.
34 KT... 80NE  90SE  70SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 34.1N  27.3W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  30SE  25SW  15NW.
50 KT... 40NE  50SE  40SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE 100SE 110SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 36.5N  22.6W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  40SE  30SW  15NW.
50 KT... 60NE  70SE  50SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE 120SE 160SW 200NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 40.7N  17.9W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  90SE  80SW  70NW.
34 KT...170NE 180SE 210SW 240NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 51.0N  11.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT...100NE 140SE 110SW  60NW.
34 KT...270NE 270SE 270SW 240NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 17/1200Z 60.0N   4.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 18/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.8N  32.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN


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