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HURRICANE OPHELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  16
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL172017
0300 UTC FRI OCT 13 2017

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN THE AZORES SHOULD REFER TO PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE
AZORES WEATHER FORECAST AND WATCH CENTER.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.7N  34.7W AT 13/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR  60 DEGREES AT   6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  970 MB
EYE DIAMETER  15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE  20SE  20SW  15NW.
50 KT....... 30NE  30SE  25SW  20NW.
34 KT....... 70NE  80SE  60SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 160SE 130SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.7N  34.7W AT 13/0300Z
AT 13/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.5N  35.1W

FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 31.2N  33.5W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  25SE  20SW  15NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  90SE  70SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 32.2N  31.1W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  30SE  25SW  15NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE 100SE  90SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 33.7N  27.5W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  30SE  30SW   0NW.
50 KT... 40NE  50SE  50SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE 120SE 120SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 36.0N  23.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  60SE  50SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE 140SE 180SW 210NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 45.0N  14.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT...100NE 110SE 100SW  90NW.
34 KT...270NE 240SE 240SW 240NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 17/0000Z 56.0N   7.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 18/0000Z 64.0N   0.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.7N  34.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE


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