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TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL172017
1500 UTC WED OCT 11 2017
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.0N  36.5W AT 11/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR  90 DEGREES AT   3 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  992 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT.......  0NE  30SE  30SW   0NW.
34 KT.......  0NE  50SE  60SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE  90SE  90SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.0N  36.5W AT 11/1500Z
AT 11/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.0N  36.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 29.9N  36.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  15SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 30.1N  35.7W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  15SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 30.8N  34.7W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  15SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  70SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 31.5N  33.3W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  80SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 34.0N  26.8W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  80SW  70NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 15/1200Z 40.0N  17.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 16/1200Z 51.5N  12.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.0N  36.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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