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TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL172017
2100 UTC TUE OCT 10 2017

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.1N  38.0W AT 10/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST OR 135 DEGREES AT   5 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT.......  0NE  30SE  30SW   0NW.
34 KT....... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE  70SE  60SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.1N  38.0W AT 10/2100Z
AT 10/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.3N  38.2W

FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 30.6N  37.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT...  0NE  30SE  30SW   0NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 30.2N  36.8W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 30.2N  36.4W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  15SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 30.5N  35.6W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  70SE  70SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 32.0N  32.2W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  70SW  60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 14/1800Z 34.7N  25.8W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 15/1800Z 39.0N  17.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.1N  38.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART


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