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TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL172017
0300 UTC TUE OCT 10 2017
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.3N  39.0W AT 10/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  40 DEGREES AT   6 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 90NE  60SE  30SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE  60SE   0SW  40NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.3N  39.0W AT 10/0300Z
AT 10/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 32.2N  39.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 32.5N  38.4W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  40SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 32.0N  38.1W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 31.1N  37.9W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT...  0NE   0SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 30.4N  37.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  20NW.
34 KT... 60NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 30.8N  35.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  80SW  60NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 14/0000Z 32.5N  32.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 15/0000Z 34.5N  26.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 32.3N  39.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER LANDSEA
 
 
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