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HURRICANE MARIA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 25
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152017
0900 UTC FRI SEP 22 2017
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE MARIA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
21.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 70.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
110 KTS...125 MPH...205 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
06Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
HYANNIS MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
NANTUCKET MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
ATLANTIC CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
DOVER DE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
CAPE HENLOPEN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4)
OCEAN CITY MD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4)
WALLOPS CDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4)
NORFOLK NAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4)
NORFOLK VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4)
OCEANA NAS VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5)
ELIZABETH CTY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5)
CAPE HATTERAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 5(10)
CHERRY PT NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 3( 6)
NEW RIVER NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 4( 8)
MOREHEAD CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 4( 7)
SURF CITY NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5)
WILMINGTON NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3)
BALD HEAD ISL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4)
BERMUDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 6(13)
NEW PROVIDENCE 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
ANDROS 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
GREAT EXUMA 34 2 4( 6) 3( 9) 2(11) 1(12) X(12) X(12)
SAN SALVADOR 34 3 12(15) 8(23) 4(27) 3(30) X(30) X(30)
SAN SALVADOR 50 X 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
MAYAGUANA 34 42 11(53) 2(55) 1(56) X(56) X(56) X(56)
MAYAGUANA 50 3 3( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
MAYAGUANA 64 1 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
GRAND TURK 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
GRAND TURK 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
GRAND TURK 64 75 X(75) X(75) X(75) X(75) X(75) X(75)
GUANTANAMO BAY 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 1( 4)
PORT-AU-PRINCE 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
PUERTO PLATA 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
SANTO DOMINGO 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
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