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Tropical Storm MARIA (Text)


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TROPICAL STORM MARIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL152017
0300 UTC SUN SEP 17 2017

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF THE NETHERLANDS HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WATCH FOR
SABA AND ST. EUSTATIUS.

THE METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE OF CURACAO HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WATCH
FOR ST. MAARTEN.

THE METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE OF ANTIGUA HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WATCH
FOR ANGUILLA.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ANTIGUA...BARBUDA...ST. KITTS...NEVIS...AND MONTSERRAT
* GUADELOUPE
* SABA AND ST. EUSTATIUS
* ST. MAARTEN
* ANGUILLA

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ST. LUCIA
* MARTINIQUE
* DOMINICA
* BARBADOS
* ST. VINCENT AND THE GRENADINES

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.  A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS... CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA... GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE LESSER ANTILLES AND THE BRITISH AND U. S.
VIRGIN ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
ADDITIONAL TROPICAL STORM OR HURRICANE WATCHES AND WARNINGS WILL
LIKELY BE ISSUED EARLY SUNDAY.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.5N  53.7W AT 17/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  14 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 40NE  30SE   0SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE  30SE   0SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.5N  53.7W AT 17/0300Z
AT 17/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.3N  53.1W

FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 13.1N  55.7W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 70NE  30SE  30SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 13.9N  57.6W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  40SE  30SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 14.6N  59.2W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  40SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 15.3N  60.7W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  50SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 16.5N  63.5W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  60SW  90NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 21/0000Z 18.0N  66.5W...NEAR COAST OF PUERTO RICO
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 22/0000Z 19.5N  69.0W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.5N  53.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN


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Page last modified: Tuesday, 17-Oct-2017 12:09:35 UTC